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Home Technology Artificial Intelligence
investing

C3.ai Beats Expectations Despite Accounting Shift: Strong AI Pipeline Driving Growth

byLuca Blaumann
September 5, 2024
in Artificial Intelligence, Mid-Cap
Reading Time: 4 mins read
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FY1Q25 Results Showcase Revenue Beats and Expanding Partnerships Amid Adjustments in Revenue Reporting

C3.ai (AI) delivered strong fiscal first-quarter 2025 (FY1Q25) results, reporting top- and bottom-line beats that reflect the company’s growing presence in the enterprise AI space. Despite the positive performance, the spotlight shifted to the impact of accounting changes under the ASC 606 adjustment, which recategorized some software revenue as services. This change will affect how the company’s subscription and services growth is evaluated moving forward. However, C3.ai’s expansion into new markets and partnerships continues to fuel optimism for future growth.

Revenue Performance and Subscription Growth

For FY1Q25, C3.ai posted total revenues of $87.2 million, slightly above the Street’s estimate of $86.9 million and within the company’s guidance range of $84.0 million to $89.0 million. This 21% year-over-year (y/y) growth underscores the company’s ability to maintain momentum in an increasingly competitive enterprise AI landscape. Subscription revenue accounted for $73.5 million, representing 84% of total revenue. While subscription revenue grew 20% y/y, it was lower than both the prior quarter’s $79.9 million and the Street’s estimate of $79.2 million, partly due to the ASC 606 adjustment that shifted some software revenue into the services category.

The shift in revenue reporting is significant as it impacts how analysts and investors perceive the company’s growth trajectory. Services revenue, which includes professional services, came in strong at $13.8 million, representing 16% of total revenue, compared to the prior period’s 15%. This beat the Street’s estimate of $7.9 million, marking a substantial gain from the prior quarter’s $6.7 million. The rise in services revenue is a positive indicator of C3.ai’s ability to diversify its revenue streams while providing customized solutions to enterprise customers.

Expanding Partnerships and Federal Sector Momentum

C3.ai continues to strengthen its market presence through key partnerships and increased bookings. The company closed 71 agreements in FY1Q25, a 122% y/y increase, including 52 pilot projects, up 117% y/y. These pilots are a strategic stepping stone for C3.ai, allowing the company to showcase its AI capabilities before securing long-term contracts. Partner-supported bookings also rose significantly, with a 94% y/y increase, demonstrating the effectiveness of the company’s alliances, particularly with Google Cloud. C3.ai closed 48 agreements with Google Cloud, marking a 300% y/y increase in deals following their joint sales and marketing campaign.

The federal sector remains a crucial growth area for C3.ai. The company reported that federal bookings accounted for 30% of total bookings in the quarter, driven by agreements with various U.S. municipal, county, and state agencies. With 25 agreements closed across government entities, C3.ai’s federal business is experiencing sustained momentum, particularly in state and local government markets. This positions C3.ai to capitalize on the federal government’s increasing interest in AI adoption for public sector solutions.

Margin Expansion and Operating Income Improvements

C3.ai’s non-GAAP gross margins for the quarter came in at 69.8%, surpassing the Street’s estimate of 68.9%. This was driven by a strong performance in professional services, which reported a gross margin of 92.7%, significantly above the Street’s 88.6% estimate. Subscription gross margins, however, were slightly below expectations at 65.6%, compared to the Street’s estimate of 66.9%.

On the bottom line, C3.ai’s non-GAAP operating income came in at ($16.6) million, beating the Street’s estimate of ($30.0) million and reflecting disciplined cost management across its salesforce, R&D, and marketing departments. The operating margin improved to (19.1%) compared to the Street’s estimate of (26.1%), a notable improvement from the prior period’s (27.0%).

Despite continued investments in growth initiatives, C3.ai’s ability to manage expenses is helping drive bottom-line improvements, positioning the company for long-term success in the enterprise AI market.

FY25 Outlook: Balancing Growth and Cash Flow

C3.ai maintained its FY25 revenue guidance of $370 million to $395 million, in line with the Street’s estimate of $383.4 million. The company also reaffirmed its operating income guidance, projecting a range of ($125.0) million to ($95.0) million, with the Street’s estimate sitting at ($107.9) million. While C3.ai expects negative free cash flow in the next two quarters, the company remains committed to generating positive free cash flow by the end of FY25. This demonstrates C3.ai’s focus on balancing growth investments with cash flow management, despite some short-term challenges.

Looking ahead, C3.ai is doubling down on its opportunities in both the enterprise and federal landscapes, with rising demand for its AI and Generative AI (GenAI) solutions. The company’s strong pipeline, expanding partnerships, and disciplined financial management are expected to drive continued growth as the AI revolution gains momentum over the next few years.

Conclusion: Positive Outlook Despite Revenue Adjustments

C3.ai’s FY1Q25 results demonstrate the company’s resilience in navigating both market opportunities and internal adjustments like the ASC 606 shift. With a solid foundation of growing partnerships, federal sector momentum, and improved financial discipline, C3.ai remains well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for AI solutions.

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