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Home Consumer Cyclical Auto Manufacturers
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General Motors Surges After Raising 2024 Guidance and Crushing Q3 Expectations

byLuca Blaumann
October 22, 2024
in Auto Manufacturers
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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Strong Vehicle Sales, Profit Growth, and Optimized Electric Vehicle Strategy Drive GM’s Success

General Motors (GM) delivered a stellar financial performance in the third quarter of 2024, significantly beating Wall Street’s expectations for both revenue and profit. In addition, the automaker raised its full-year guidance for the third time this year, sparking investor optimism and sending GM shares up nearly 8% in early trading.

For the third quarter, GM reported revenue of $48.78 billion, surpassing analysts’ estimates of $44.69 billion and improving upon the previous quarter’s nearly $48 billion. This marked a 10.5% increase in revenue compared to the same period last year. Additionally, GM posted adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.96, well above the $2.44 expected by analysts. The company’s EBIT-adjusted (earnings before interest and taxes) profit came in at $4.115 billion, a 15.5% increase from a year ago, while the EBIT-adjusted margin rose to 8.4% from 8.1%.

Raised Guidance and Optimistic Outlook

Building on its strong performance, GM made several upward revisions to its full-year 2024 guidance. The company now expects its EBIT-adjusted profit to range between $14.0 billion and $15.0 billion, up from a previous forecast of $13.0 billion to $15.0 billion. Automotive operating cash flow is projected to be between $22.0 billion and $24.0 billion, an increase from the prior range of $19.2 billion to $22.2 billion. GM also boosted its expectations for adjusted automotive free cash flow, raising it to $12.5 billion – $13.5 billion, from a previous estimate of $9.5 billion to $11.5 billion. Diluted-adjusted EPS was also increased to $10.00 – $10.50, from $9.50 – $10.50.

“I’m proud that GM is delivering our best vehicles ever with strong financial results. But I want to be clear that we are not mistaking progress for winning,” said GM CEO Mary Barra in her letter to shareholders. “Competition is fierce, and the regulatory environment will keep getting tougher. That’s why we are focused on optimizing our ICE margins and working to make our EVs profitable on an EBIT basis as quickly as possible.”

Pickup Trucks, SUVs, and EVs Drive Sales Growth

While overall vehicle deliveries were down 2% from a year ago at 659,601 units, GM’s retail sales climbed 3%, allowing the company to deliver more vehicles than any other automaker in the U.S. during the quarter. Sales were led by the company’s popular pickups and full-size SUVs, but electric vehicles (EVs) also played a key role in GM’s success.

Despite a decline in sales of the Bolt EV, GM’s other EV models saw impressive growth, with total EV sales reaching 32,195 units, representing a 60% increase compared to the same period last year. This growth demonstrates GM’s ongoing efforts to expand its EV footprint as the company aims to lead the industry’s transition to electric mobility.

Path to EV Profitability

While GM’s EV production target for 2024 was trimmed from 200,000-250,000 units to 200,000, the company remains confident in its long-term EV strategy. GM CFO Paul Jacobson emphasized the importance of achieving variable profit on EV sales, stating, “Variable profit is a really important step on the journey to profitability. It means you reached an inflection point.” By scaling up EV sales, GM expects to offset high fixed costs and move closer to sustained profitability in its EV division.

GM has also set ambitious cost-cutting targets, aiming to reduce EV costs by $2 billion to $4 billion by 2025. These savings, combined with growing EV sales, are expected to lead to a significant improvement in EV EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) in the coming years. Jacobson reiterated that while GM expects peak EV losses in 2024, the groundwork laid this year will drive profitability improvements in 2025 and beyond.

Looking Ahead

As GM looks to the future, the company remains optimistic about its financial trajectory. CEO Mary Barra reaffirmed GM’s commitment to maintaining strong financial results in 2025, predicting that EBIT-adjusted profit will be in a similar range to the full-year 2024 results.

With a robust product lineup, continued growth in EV sales, and strategic cost reductions, GM is positioning itself to thrive in an increasingly competitive automotive market. As the company continues to navigate the challenges of transitioning to electric vehicles, its latest financial performance signals that it is well-equipped to capitalize on the opportunities ahead.

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