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Home Industrials Aerospace & Defense

Trump’s Re-Election Sparks Stock Movements: Key Winners and Losers for Investors

byLuca Blaumann
November 6, 2024
in Aerospace & Defense, Auto Manufacturers, Bitcoin, Economy, Electric, Electrical Equipment, Large-Cap, Oil & Gas, Retail, Semiconductors, Software, Steel
Reading Time: 5 mins read
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Tech, Energy, and Industrial Stocks to Watch as Trump’s Policies Shape Market Sentiment

With Donald J. Trump re-elected as the 47th President of the United States, his policy outlook and market influences are already rippling through various sectors. From technology and infrastructure to renewable energy, stocks are poised to respond to Trump’s anticipated economic and regulatory priorities. Here are the key stocks for investors to watch closely in the coming months.

Stocks Poised to Benefit from Trump’s Re-Election

  1. Tesla Inc. (TSLA)
    Although Tesla operates heavily in the electric vehicle and clean energy space, two areas typically aligned with Democratic policies, Trump’s stance on reducing corporate taxes and deregulating industries could still benefit Tesla. With less regulatory oversight, Tesla may find a friendlier business environment under Trump’s administration. The possibility of tax incentives for domestic manufacturing could also support Tesla’s U.S.-based production.
  2. United States Steel Corp. (X)
    Trump has long advocated for U.S. steel production and infrastructure investment, a trend that is likely to continue with his return to office. United States Steel stands to benefit directly from these priorities, particularly if Trump follows through with infrastructure projects that could boost demand for steel. Additionally, any protective tariffs on imported steel would likely strengthen U.S. Steel’s market position and profitability.
  3. Bitcoin (BTC)
    Trump’s re-election could bring a mixed bag for Bitcoin. Although Trump has expressed skepticism toward cryptocurrencies in the past, his administration is expected to support financial deregulation, which may benefit Bitcoin by easing institutional access and creating more favorable trading conditions. With inflation concerns potentially on the horizon, Bitcoin might also find renewed interest as an alternative store of value.
  4. Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA), MicroStrategy (MSTR), Riot Blockchain (RIOT), Hive Blockchain (HIVE)
    The Trump administration’s pro-business stance is expected to foster a more favorable regulatory environment for cryptocurrency and blockchain companies. This could benefit mining and blockchain firms such as Marathon Digital, Riot Blockchain, and Hive Blockchain, as they continue to build and expand operations in the U.S. MicroStrategy, a key corporate investor in Bitcoin, may see further upside as institutional interest in cryptocurrency remains robust.
  5. Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT)
    Trump Media, the parent company of social media platform Truth Social, is another stock to watch. With Trump back in the public spotlight as President, his social media ventures may attract heightened user engagement and ad revenue, particularly from conservative audiences. The stock could see increased interest and volatility as the company potentially benefits from favorable regulatory conditions and increased visibility.
  6. GEO Group Inc. (GEO)
    As a private prison operator, GEO Group is likely to benefit from Trump’s law-and-order policies, particularly if he reinstates federal contracts for private prisons. Trump’s stance on stricter immigration policies could also lead to increased demand for GEO’s facilities, which provide detention services for government agencies. GEO Group’s stock may see a resurgence, as it did during Trump’s first term in office.
  7. Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR)
    Palantir, known for its data analytics and intelligence solutions, has strong ties with government contracts, particularly in defense and security. Trump’s focus on national security and immigration could mean increased contracts for Palantir, especially if the administration ramps up spending on surveillance and counterterrorism. Palantir’s government business could experience significant growth under a Trump administration.

Stocks Likely to Face Challenges

Trump’s administration is expected to prioritize oil, gas, and coal over renewable energy, which could negatively impact several solar stocks. The following companies may face headwinds as Trump’s policies shift funding and subsidies away from clean energy initiatives.

  1. First Solar Inc. (FSLR)
    As one of the largest solar companies in the U.S., First Solar could be adversely affected if the Trump administration rolls back incentives for renewable energy. First Solar may also face more competition from fossil fuel companies if Trump enacts policies that promote traditional energy sources over renewables.
  2. Enphase Energy Inc. (ENPH) and SolarEdge Technologies Inc. (SEDG)
    Both Enphase and SolarEdge manufacture components critical to the solar power industry, such as inverters and microinverters. Reduced government support for solar energy could hinder these companies’ growth prospects, as solar project financing may become harder to secure without federal incentives. This would challenge their growth trajectory, which has surged in recent years due to the renewable energy boom.
  3. Sunrun Inc. (RUN)
    As a major residential solar provider, Sunrun’s business model relies heavily on favorable policies and incentives that support residential solar installations. If Trump focuses on oil and gas subsidies, Sunrun may see slowed adoption rates and reduced government support, impacting its profitability and growth.
  4. Canadian Solar Inc. (CSIQ) and JinkoSolar Holdings (JKS)
    Canadian Solar and JinkoSolar are international solar powerhouses that could face challenges if Trump imposes tariffs on imported solar products, a move that could further benefit domestic fossil fuel industries. Additionally, a reduction in U.S. demand due to decreased federal support could affect their sales.
  5. Maxeon Solar Technologies (MAXN)
    Maxeon Solar, a global solar technology company, may see negative impacts similar to its peers if Trump prioritizes fossil fuels over solar. The lack of favorable policies could create additional hurdles in the U.S. market, and global expansions may also be impacted if the U.S. reduces its support for renewable energy partnerships.

Investor Outlook

Trump’s re-election signals a likely shift in regulatory and economic priorities that will impact a wide range of sectors. For companies in fossil fuel, infrastructure, and traditional energy, Trump’s policies may usher in a favorable climate, especially for domestic manufacturing and coal production. On the other hand, renewable energy companies might experience challenges as federal support shifts away from clean energy.

Investors should monitor these stocks closely as they adjust to the new political landscape. While Tesla, U.S. Steel, and blockchain companies may benefit from Trump’s pro-business stance, solar companies might see adverse effects from the lack of renewable support. For companies like GEO Group and Palantir, Trump’s law-and-order and national security policies could drive demand for their services, making them attractive options for investors looking to capitalize on the evolving market dynamics.

As policies unfold, these stocks will reflect the market’s response to Trump’s vision for the economy and could present unique opportunities and risks for both short-term traders and long-term investors.

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