Tariff proposals and easing Middle Eastern tensions weigh on gold, with market eyes on upcoming Fed meeting
Gold (GLD) prices dipped following President-elect Donald Trump’s announcement of a potential 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico, along with a proposed 10% tariff on Chinese goods. The resulting surge in the dollar has made gold more expensive for many international buyers, leading to decreased demand for the precious metal.
After a 3.4% drop in the previous session, gold traded near $2,620 per ounce, its allure dampened by a strong dollar and easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Reports indicate that Israel’s security cabinet is set to vote on a cease-fire agreement with Lebanon’s Hezbollah, a move likely to pass and further reduce safe-haven demand for gold.
Despite the recent dip, gold has still surged over 25% this year, buoyed by central bank purchases and the U.S. Federal Reserve’s shift towards rate cuts. Analysts remain optimistic about gold’s performance, with Goldman Sachs and UBS projecting further gains in 2025.
The “Golden Age” for America, driven by Trump’s pro-market and pro-crypto appointments, has sparked confidence in economic growth, temporarily pushing concerns about the U.S. debt and deficit aside, according to Nicky Shiels, head of metals strategy at MKS PAMP SA. Shiels suggests that in the near term, gold is likely to stabilize around $2,500 rather than hitting the $3,000 mark, as immediate investor enthusiasm tempers long-term concerns.
Spot gold was down 0.1% to $2,621.45 per ounce in early Singapore trading, following a sharper 0.8% decline earlier in the day. Other metals, including silver, platinum, and palladium, also saw slight decreases. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose by 0.5%, recovering from a previous 0.5% drop.
Looking ahead, investors are closely monitoring the Federal Reserve’s upcoming rate meeting, where signals about future monetary policy could shape the outlook for gold. Key economic reports, including the minutes from the Fed’s November meeting, consumer confidence data, and the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, will be released this week and could offer insights into the Fed’s next move.
As market dynamics shift, gold’s trajectory remains in focus, with many analysts forecasting that any potential easing of the dollar’s strength or renewed global tensions could bolster demand for the metal in the months to come.
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