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Dollar General Lifts Sales Outlook as Shoppers Seek Value Amid Economic Uncertainty

byLuca Blaumann
June 3, 2025
in Large-Cap, Retail
Reading Time: 2 mins read
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Q1 results beat expectations as inflation and tariffs drive demand for low-cost essentials

Dollar General (DG) raised its annual sales forecast on Tuesday after posting better-than-expected quarterly results, as inflation and tariff-driven economic uncertainty continued to steer cost-conscious shoppers toward its stores.

The discount retailer’s shares surged 8% in premarket trading, adding to a roughly 28% gain so far this year. Known for its appeal during economic downturns, Dollar General has remained a go-to destination for consumers seeking affordable everyday essentials.

For the quarter ended May 2, same-store sales rose 2.4%, surpassing the 1.41% increase projected by analysts, according to LSEG data. Earnings per share came in at $1.78, easily beating the $1.48 consensus estimate.

The company now expects full-year same-store sales growth between 1.5% and 2.5%, up from a prior forecast of 1.2% to 2.2%. Dollar General also raised the lower end of its annual earnings guidance by 10 cents to $5.20, while keeping the upper range at $5.80.

While the company acknowledged uncertainty related to existing U.S. tariffs—particularly those tied to private-label goods sourced from China—it expressed confidence in its ability to mitigate most cost impacts.

To strengthen operations and reduce expenses, Dollar General is focusing on remodeling existing stores rather than expanding aggressively. This leaner approach aims to support its core lower-income customer base, which remains under pressure from elevated inflation.

Despite concerns that tariff-related input costs could weigh on future profits—a challenge also facing many retailers—Dollar General’s resilience and strong start to the year underscore its value-driven appeal.

All eyes now turn to rival Dollar Tree, which reports its first-quarter results on Wednesday following its divestiture of the Family Dollar brand earlier this year.

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